Politics
Hezbollah is a danger to Syria
As Syria began to reposition itself after 13 years of war, and gradually started to consolidate its relations with the Arab countries, which had been
No sooner had Syria begun to reposition itself after 13 years of war, and gradually started to consolidate its relations with Arab countries, which began with President Bashar al-Assad’s attendance at the Arab Summit in Jeddah in May 2023, than the flames of the Israeli war in Gaza and Lebanon began to reach it.
Lebanon, the closest neighbor, has become the new headache for Syria from a security and geopolitical standpoint. More accurately, it is not all of Lebanon, but rather one can speak clearly about (Hezbollah), which has turned into a regional knot that must be dealt with definitively and cautiously.
The late President Hafez al-Assad used to say: “Lebanon only brings headaches,” a phrase commonly used by Lebanese politicians themselves, because everything that happens in Lebanon is reflected in Syria. But the situation today is more complex and more sensitive than ever before, and it can be said that Hezbollah only brings headaches, and painkillers will not help with this headache.
A strategic shift, both politically and in terms of security
Lebanon today is not in a civil war that the Arabs, and Syria in particular, might contain on the orders of the Arab states, nor is it in a limited war or a war of reaction as it was in 2006. Today it is on the verge of a major change on the political, security and perhaps demographic level as well, after the number of displaced people to Syria reached about 30,000, according to official statistics, a number that is certainly likely to increase due to the repercussions of the Israeli war on (Hezbollah).
Lebanon today is a country adrift and on the brink of hell, so to speak. Perhaps the first country to be affected by what is happening in Lebanon is Syria, according to the philosophy of geography, history, and the deep, intertwined relationship between the two countries.
For the past four years, no military site belonging to Hezbollah and Iran on Syrian soil has escaped Israeli strikes. Israel has long justified targeting Syrian territory under the pretext of the activity of the Lebanese Hezbollah, and thus the party’s headquarters and areas in Syria have become a source of danger to the Syrians themselves. Has Hezbollah turned into a danger that threatens Syria?
Assassinations, displacement, and chaos
In the first week of the Israeli war on Lebanon, thousands of Lebanese families, mostly families affiliated with Hezbollah leaders, poured into the city of Homs, near the Syrian-Lebanese border. They did not come as displaced persons, but rather entered Homs as heavily armed conquerors and established control over many of its neighborhoods. Videos spread on social media showing the extent of the chaos caused by the Hezbollah militia in Homs, as well as the manifestations of armament in Syria that have become comparable to the army and security services.
In a single month, Israel assassinated more than five Hezbollah leaders who had attempted to flee to Syria seeking refuge. Most of the Israeli assassinations in Damascus did not target Syrian leaders, officers, or figures, but rather primarily Iranian Revolutionary Guard officials and Hezbollah commanders. This led to public discourse in Syria, for the first time, about the dangers of Hezbollah leaders remaining among civilians in Damascus neighborhoods.
This is not all there is to it. Rather, the danger of (Hezbollah) is much greater now for Syria. It is clear that Damascus does not want a confrontation with the Israeli occupation for several reasons, including what is apparent and what the Syrian government says about it, that it is in a state of truce (disengagement) with Israel since the 1974 agreement. Consequently, there are international treaties about stopping the escalation between Damascus and Tel Aviv. But (Hezbollah), today, is imposing on Damascus a new state of confrontation with Israel, which carries great risks for the Syrian state, considering that (Hezbollah) is out of control and is not dealt with through the Lebanese state.
The danger is growing... and the war is dragging on
Yes, Hezbollah has become a danger to the Syrian state and to the Syrian social fabric as well, and this danger will likely grow in the next few days with the increase in displacement and the prolongation of the war in Lebanon, and this is expected according to the current data.
If we look at the map of Hezbollah’s control in Syria, or its spread on Syrian territory, we find that the Syrian-Lebanese border in Homs, including Al-Qusayr and the border villages, is under Hezbollah’s control. This control has extended to the city of Homs. In the western Qalamoun and Zabadani on the Syrian-Lebanese border, Hezbollah is deployed with weapons depots in that area. Military analysts believe that the Qalamoun depots are Hezbollah’s strategic stockpile of missiles due to the ruggedness of the area.
Here it can be said that the presence of (Hezbollah) on two border lines with Syria is considered a threat to the security of Syrian lands in the short term, in light of Israel’s pursuit of every little thing about the party. Certainly, Israel will not leave the party’s leaders and members without accountability after the open war that Netanyahu is waging to target the party’s leaders and structure, which has become public in Israel. The strategic vision of the Israeli army’s leadership has even moved from dismantling the party’s structure to eliminating it. There is an Israeli shift in pursuing the war, considering that it is fighting a militia classified as terrorist at the international level.
Hezbollah today is a danger to Lebanon in the first place and to Syria. It has become a regional curse because of its regional spread. Therefore, just as it has been a burden on Lebanon since its establishment until now, it will also be a burden and a danger to Syria if it is allowed to continue its activity and movements within its territory.
Politics
The book "The Neighbor Before the House": An Analysis of Saudi-Yemeni Relations
The book “The Neighbor Before the House” by researcher Mohammed Al-Faqih reviews the history of Saudi-Yemeni relations, documenting the Saudi role in supporting legitimacy and presenting a future vision for the partnership between the two countries.
In a new publication aimed at documenting and analyzing one of the most important and complex Arab relationships, Yemeni writer and researcher Mohammed al-Faqih has released a book titled "Yemen and Saudi Arabia: Neighbor Before Home." The 523-page book, divided into eight chapters, offers an in-depth political and historical analysis of the fraternal relations between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Republic of Yemen, emphasizing that these relations transcend current political circumstances and are based on solid foundations of geography, history, and shared destiny.
Historical background and general context
The relationship between Saudi Arabia and Yemen has deep historical roots, as the two countries share a long geographical border and strong tribal, cultural, and social ties. This relationship has witnessed pivotal moments throughout history, most notably the Treaty of Taif in 1934, which demarcated the border and established a framework for cooperation. Over the decades, the Kingdom has played a central role in supporting Yemen's economic and political stability and has hosted millions of Yemenis who have contributed to its development. This book comes at a critical juncture for Yemen and the region, as current challenges have created a new reality that necessitates a re-examination of this relationship from a strategic perspective that ensures the security and stability of both countries.
The book's content and its analytical dimensions
In his book, the author emphasizes that the relationship between the two countries cannot be reduced to mere geographical proximity, but rather is akin to "two inseparable bodies" whose security and stability constitute an indivisible unity. The book analytically examines the Saudi role in supporting the legitimate Yemeni government and state institutions since the outbreak of the recent crisis, documenting relief and development efforts and reconstruction projects. It also sheds light on external attempts and destabilizing agendas that have sought, and continue to seek, to target this shared strategic depth with the aim of destabilizing the entire region.
Importance and expected impact
This publication is of paramount importance on several levels. Domestically, it provides the Yemeni people with documentation that reinforces confidence in Saudi Arabia's role as a sincere strategic partner striving for Yemen's prosperity. Regionally, the book represents a valuable addition to the Arab political library, offering an analytical perspective that counters narratives seeking to distort the nature of the relationship, emphasizing that Yemen's stability is the first line of defense for the security of the Arabian Peninsula. Internationally, the book is considered an important reference for researchers and decision-makers interested in Yemeni affairs, as it presents a comprehensive perspective linking historical roots with contemporary challenges and proposes a future vision based on full partnership, respect for sovereignty, and the building of a strong and stable Yemen that supports its neighbors, embodying the saying, "The neighbor comes before the house.".
In a statement to Okaz, Al-Faqih explained that his work is not limited to narrating events, but aims to be a real addition to the public discussion about the future of Yemen and its relationship with its surroundings, foremost among them the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, which Yemenis view as a major supporter that has not hesitated to offer everything precious for the stability and progress of their country.
Politics
Saudi medical team evacuates wounded Yemenis from Aden following a security attack
A Saudi medical evacuation plane transported wounded Yemeni soldiers from Aden for treatment after they were injured in an assassination attempt, in a move that reflects Saudi Arabia’s continued humanitarian support in Yemen.
In a humanitarian gesture underscoring the depth of relations and ongoing support, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia evacuated a number of wounded Yemeni soldiers and their companions from Yemen's interim capital, Aden, via a specialized medical evacuation aircraft. The "Shield of the Homeland" forces explained in a statement that these wounded individuals had been injured in the unfortunate security incident that targeted prominent military commander Hamdi Shukri of the Giants Brigades several days prior.
General context and historical background
This initiative comes amid the ongoing conflict in Yemen, which began years ago and has led to a complex humanitarian crisis. Saudi Arabia plays a pivotal role as the leader of the Arab Coalition to Support Legitimacy in Yemen, which aims to restore stability and support the internationally recognized government. The interim capital, Aden, is the scene of complex security operations, where authorities face numerous challenges in establishing security and stability, including confronting terrorist cells and assassination attempts targeting influential military and political leaders on the ground. The city has witnessed similar incidents in the past, highlighting the fragility of the security situation and the urgent need for continued international and regional support.
The importance of the event and its expected impact
Domestically, the rapid medical evacuation sends a powerful message of support and boosts the morale of Yemeni forces fighting on the ground, affirming that their sacrifices are appreciated and valued. It also reflects the high level of coordination between the coalition forces and the Yemeni forces. Regionally, this step reinforces the humanitarian role of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, which extends far beyond military and political support. Through its humanitarian arms, such as the King Salman Humanitarian Aid and Relief Center, the Kingdom provides extensive medical, food, and shelter assistance across various Yemeni governorates, and this operation falls within this broader context.
Details of the operation and its implications
A statement from the Homeland Shield Forces indicated that the transfer of the wounded and the completion of necessary procedures were carried out smoothly and with exceptional organization, reflecting the Kingdom's high level of preparedness and advanced logistical capabilities in responding to emergencies. The statement added that "this step comes within the framework of the Kingdom's humanitarian role, reflecting its unwavering commitment to prioritizing human life above all other considerations." It is worth noting that the assassination attempt against Commander Hamdi Shukri, which security authorities in Aden announced had failed, resulted in a number of deaths and injuries, necessitating this urgent medical response.
Politics
King Abdullah II orders restructuring of the Jordanian army
King Abdullah II issued directives to restructure the Jordanian army within 3 years to enhance its capabilities and confront modern threats, stressing the importance of building a lean and flexible force.
On Saturday, King Abdullah II, the Supreme Commander of the Armed Forces, directed the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff to prepare a comprehensive strategy and a clearly defined roadmap aimed at achieving a structural transformation of the Jordanian Armed Forces – the Arab Army – over the next three years. These royal directives reflect the ongoing commitment to developing and modernizing the military establishment to enable it to effectively and competently confront current and future challenges.
Historical background and vision for modernization
The Jordanian Armed Forces, whose roots trace back to the Arab Legion established in the 1920s, are a cornerstone of stability in the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan and the region. Throughout its history, the army has faced numerous challenges and demonstrated its ability to adapt and evolve. King Abdullah II's directives today are not issued in a vacuum, but rather are a continuation of a long process of modernization and development within the armed forces, aimed at transforming them from a traditional army into a modern military force capable of engaging with the unconventional and hybrid warfare tactics that have become characteristic of 21st-century conflicts.
Strategic importance and expected impacts
This restructuring process holds immense strategic importance both domestically and regionally. Domestically, it aims to bolster national security and protect the Kingdom's borders, situated in the heart of a volatile region, while countering emerging threats such as terrorism and the smuggling of drugs and weapons across borders. Regionally, a strong and modernized Jordanian army reinforces Jordan's role as a stabilizing force in the Middle East and sends a strategic deterrent message to any entity that might seek to threaten the Kingdom's security. Furthermore, developing military capabilities strengthens Jordan's international partnerships, particularly with strategic allies who participate in joint exercises and peacekeeping operations.
Towards agile and flexible armed forces
King Abdullah II expressed his ambition to build a “lean, flexible, and high-quality armed forces,” prepared, equipped, and trained according to the latest combat methods. He emphasized the need for the new organizational structure to align with the demands of combat in diverse operational environments, with a focus on the effective utilization of both defensive and offensive capabilities. His Majesty added, “It is imperative to consider the requirements related to modernizing, developing, and restructuring the armed forces… in a way that ensures mastery of modern warfare tactics.”.
The King emphasized the importance of possessing an effective, reliable, and secure command, control, and communications system, and employing modern defense technologies in partnership with friendly local and international defense industries. In concluding his directives, King Abdullah II commended the members of the Jordanian Armed Forces, affirming that they will remain “a national institution of which every Jordanian is proud,” and will continue to serve their country with courage, dedication, and loyalty.
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